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North India to wait a fortnight for monsoon

Sunday, 27 June 2021 | PNS | New Delhi

Delhi, Punjab Haryana, west UP, Rajasthan may see rains after July 7

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Saturday said that the monsoon is unlikely to progress to Delhi, Chandigarh, Haryana, remaining parts of Rajasthan, west Uttar Pradesh, and Punjab for the next 7-10 days. Meanwhile,  private weather forecaster Skymet said that they do not expect the progress of monsoon further until July 6-7. Therefore northwest India, including Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan and west UP, will continue with hot and humid weather.

“Prevailing meteorological conditions, large scale atmospheric features and the forecast wind pattern by dynamical models suggest that no favourable conditions are likely to develop for further advance of southwest monsoon into remaining parts of Rajasthan, west Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and Punjab during next seven days,” the IMD said in its bulletin on Saturday.

It added that subdued rainfall activity is very likely to prevail over northwest, central and western parts of Peninsular India during next five days. “Isolated/scattered thunderstorm activity accompanied with lightning & rainfall is likely over these regions during this subdued monsoon activity period,” it said.

As per the IMD data, there was 43 per cent excess rain in northwest India, 36 per cent in central India, 3 per cent in the east and northeast India, and 7 per cent in the south peninsula. Out of 36 subdivisions, seven recorded large excess rain (60 per cent or more above normal), 14 recorded excess rain (20 to 59 per cent excess), seven recorded normal rain (-19 per cent to 19 per cent) and eight recorded deficient rain (-20 per cent to -59 per cent).

The IMD further stated that subsequently, moist easterly winds are likely to pick up in strength, causing enhanced rainfall activity all along the Himalayan foothills regions of north Bihar, north Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh around July 1 and 2 leading to increased inflow into the rivers originating/flowing over these regions.

Meanwhile, heavy rainfall waterlogged in most low lying areas in Patna including Patna Vidhan Sabha premises and residences of several MLAs including deputy Chief Minister Renu Devi as the capital city has received over 145 mm rainfall that is highest in a decade, in the last 24 hours. According to IMD, heavy rain will be confined to northeast India while rainfall will be subdued in the rest of the country at least till around July 5.

From June 1 to June 26, the country recorded 20% excess rain. It has received 162.7 mm rainfall as against the normal of 135.6 mm so far. Jammu and Kashmir, Delhi, Manipur, Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Kerala and Puducherry are among those States which received deficient rainfall so far. Deficiency in rainfall in Manipur is almost 60 per cent this season.

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